bagol.tv
MASUK
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · MIN, 17 MEI · 17:00 WIB LOCAL
← Match Page
AS ROMA
FT
2 0
FULL TIME
LAZIO
⚽ 40' Gianluca Mancini ⚽ 66' Gianluca Mancini
GOL
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
AS
2 1
LAZ
most likely scoreline · 11.6% probability
PILIHAN AI AS ROMA TO WIN 56%
FT 2 – 0
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

BAGAIMANA AI LIHAT PERTANDINGAN

FINAL · VERIFIED
AS WIN 56%
IMBANG 27%
LAZ WIN 17%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.39% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 79% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Roma clear home favourites but Lazio's away resilience + derby intensity keeps this competitive; slight edge to BTTS.

🤖 AI REASONING kenapa AI pilih ini
WHY AS ROMA FAVORED
56%
Bookmaker odds (62.5% Roma) slightly overstate home edge — SportMonks 54.4% aligns better with derby unpredictability
+15.0%
WHY LAZIO CHALLENGED
17%
Roma clear home favourites but Lazio's away resilience + derby intensity keeps this competitive; slight edge to BTTS.
+30.0%
Roma 16-point league lead + strong home record (WDWWL) vs Lazio's weaker away form (WWLWL)
+25.0%
xG differential favours Roma (55 GF vs Lazio 39 GF) but Lazio defence organised (37 GA)
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Bookmaker odds (62.5% Roma) slightly overstate home edge — SportMonks 54.4% aligns better with derby unpredictability
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

TIMELINE PROBABILITAS

Bagaimana AI re-proyeksi setelah setiap event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 40' GIANLUCA M 66' GIANLUCA M
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

PROBABILITAS SCORELINE

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
·
·
1
10.8
9.0
3.8
1.1
0.2
·
·
2
11.6
9.8
4.1
1.2
0.2
·
·
3
8.4
7.0
3.0
0.8
0.2
·
·
4
4.5
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
·
·
5
2.0
1.6
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 11.6%
1 — 0 10.8%
2 — 1 9.8%
1 — 1 9.0%
3 — 0 8.4%
Top 5 = 49.5% · rest 50.5%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BET

Di mana AI lihat keuntungan vs odds bandar
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
PASAROddsPROBABILITAS AIFAIRKEUNTUNGAN
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
6.71
17.0%
5.88
+14.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.58
44.0%
2.27
+13.6%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.20
27.0%
3.70
+13.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.93
51.0%
1.96
-1.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.86
52.0%
1.92
-3.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.11
83.0%
1.20
-8.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
73.0%
1.37
-12.0%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.49
56.0%
1.79
-16.5%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are bukan jaminan. Bet responsibly.