bagol.tv
MASUK
Europa League · FINAL · KAM, 21 MEI · 02:00 WIB LOCAL
← Match Page
SC FREIBURG
4'
0 – 0
ASTON VILLA
GOL
⚽ 41' Youri Tielemans ⚽ 45+3' Emiliano Buendía
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 54/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SC
1 – 2
AST
most likely scoreline · 10.7% probability
PILIHAN AI ASTON VILLA TO WIN 46%
LIVE · 4' 0 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

BAGAIMANA AI LIHAT PERTANDINGAN

LIVE-ADJUSTED
SC WIN 28%
IMBANG 26%
AST WIN 46%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.53% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 80% OVER 1.5 ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Aston Villa are stronger on road form and table position; expect competitive match with slight away edge.

🤖 AI REASONING kenapa AI pilih ini
WHY SC FREIBURG CHALLENGED
28%
Freiburg home form solid (WWDWW) but Villa away record (DLLDW) mixed — one recent away win
+20.0%
SportMonks model favours away (44.9% vs 31.85% home); bookmaker implies 57.1% away — mid-range sits ~46%
+15.0%
WHY ASTON VILLA FAVORED
46%
Aston Villa are stronger on road form and table position; expect competitive match with slight away edge.
+30.0%
Aston Villa 2nd in standings (21 pts, +8 GD) vs Freiburg 7th (17 pts, +6 GD)
+25.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Freiburg home form solid (WWDWW) but Villa away record (DLLDW) mixed — one recent away win
  • SportMonks model favours away (44.9% vs 31.85% home); bookmaker implies 57.1% away — mid-range sits ~46%
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

TIMELINE PROBABILITAS

Bagaimana AI re-proyeksi setelah setiap event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 41' YOURI TIEL ⚽ 48' EMILIANO B 4' PROYEKSI
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

PROBABILITAS SCORELINE

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 10.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
10.3
10.7
7.4
3.8
1.6
0.5
1
4.6
9.6
9.9
6.8
3.5
1.5
0.5
2
2.2
4.5
4.6
3.2
1.7
0.7
0.2
3
0.7
1.4
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
5
·
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 10.7%
0 — 1 10.3%
1 — 2 9.9%
1 — 1 9.6%
0 — 3 7.4%
Top 5 = 47.8% · rest 52.2%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BET

Di mana AI lihat keuntungan vs odds bandar
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
PASAROddsPROBABILITAS AIFAIRKEUNTUNGAN
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.40
28.0%
3.57
+51.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.25
54.0%
1.85
+21.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.91
61.0%
1.64
+16.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.95
59.0%
1.69
+15.2%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.85
26.0%
3.85
+0.1%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
74.0%
1.35
-8.1%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.15
72.0%
1.39
-17.1%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.64
46.0%
2.17
-24.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are bukan jaminan. Bet responsibly.